Trenton—Our
beloved Turnpike and Parkway, even our Expressway, play intimate roles
in New Jerseyans’ everyday lives. Based on polls and letters to the
editor, it’s obvious that New Jerseyans are worried and deeply
skeptical about what monetization of our roads means. NJPIRG’s research
shows people are right to be worried.
Deals
elsewhere show the pitfalls. The most obvious one—going to the very
heart of these deals—is the risk of getting ripped off. Chicago gave up
99 years of toll revenues in exchange for a lump sum payment by private
investors. Those investors will make back their money in less than 20
years, giving them four generations worth of toll revenue for pure
profit. Indianans were similarly short changed; the best analysis shows
they received about $8 billion—billion with a b—too little for their
road. In Texas, lawmakers walked away from a private deal that was much
more favorable to them than Indiana and Chicago’s when they realized
that their public authority could nonetheless give them $2 billion more
than the private offer.
New Jersey can’t afford to be shortchanged by billions of dollars. That’s why we’ve included this “fair value” principle.
Another
major risk in these deals, one with much more profound implications for
the day to day lives of New Jerseyans, is the potential loss of public
control over transportation policy and road maintenance and safety
standards. Right now, the State—through the Department of
Transportation, the Turnpike Authority, the South Jersey Authority and
New Jersey Transit, controls transportation policy in the state. What
exits are built where, which roads are widened, how roads should be
maintained, how much tolls should be, and how mass transit integrates
with the road ways—all these questions are addressed with a single
mindset: what is best for New Jersey as a whole? And they are answered
with a decision making process relatively accessible and accountable to
the public.
All
that changes if a private company controls the toll roads. A private
company wants one thing—to maximize profit—and it has little regard for
the external consequences of its profit-focused policies, that is, the
collateral damage to New Jerseyans and our quality of life.
Two
quick examples. In Indiana, shortly after taking over, the private
operator installed barriers in the median turnarounds to prevent
drivers from evading tolls. Unfortunately for the public, the police,
fire and ambulance drivers needing to use those turnarounds were
blocked too. After an outcry, the operator said it would make the
barriers passable to first responders.
A
more profound example of the tension between the profit motive and the
public interest is in toll policy. Private deals give the operator the
right to regular maximum toll hikes; over several years, the allowed
maximum exceeds what the market will profitably bear, meaning that the
operator has complete discretion to set toll policy. Toll policy shapes
who uses a road, and when. That’s the principle underlying congestion
pricing, and California’s “Lexus lanes.” Given control of toll policy,
a private operator might find it most profitable to set the toll to a
level of high traffic diversion, so that the roads suffer far less wear
and tear, and make up in the toll hike what it loses in volume. Such a
policy would have devastating consequences for New Jerseyans’ quality
of life, given that they would lose more time to traffic, breathe more
air pollution, and experience more stress than they would if toll
policy were set with a perspective that included caring about the
impacts of traffic diversion to local roads.
For
these reasons and others there’s no time to illustrate now, we’ve make
retaining public control over transportation policy and road standards
our number one principle.
For
the remaining four, I’ll be briefer, they’re nearly self-explanatory.
Principle 3, No deal longer than 30 years, is a risk minimization
strategy for the first two. There’s no magic in the number 30. But if
you’re trying to figure out a good price, and you want to limit the
consequences of giving up control of your roads, the best way to do it
is with a short deal. Unfortunately, there’s no sign the current
thinking is short term; Senator Lesniak’s bill, the only authorization
bill out there, allows deals 75 years long.
Principle
4, state of the art safety and maintenance standards, recognizes that
our Turnpike and Parkway have long been models for the nation and are
among the safety roads in the country. Indiana’s deal would force the
state to pay a hefty premium to have state of the art safety and
maintenance standards. A similar provision can’t happen here.
Principle
5 insists that New Jerseyans have a role to play in determining the
fate of our roads, both in formulating the deal and in holding people
accountable for the deal. Both of those roles can be fulfilled only if
the process is transparent, and if the legislature votes on a final
deal’s terms.
Principle
6 gets at the ignoble budget-gimmick history I mentioned before. Tolls
are transportation dollars, and money that replaces them must be sure
to provide for transportation needs. Beyond that, solving the
structural deficit by paying down debt—solving the problem that
prompted monetization consideration in the first place—is the right
idea. Then and only then should money be spent on other capital
projects.
Thank you, and I’m happy to take any questions.